Guess we could have a facebook group for something like this
Chances are that people would hit the chinese jackpot quite often though. If you were to buy say 100 random 532nm dpss lasers under $10 each, chances are a few of those would output 100 mW+ at a given temperature. The downside is that others from the same batch probably will not.
As for the chances on a bargain DPSS blue: i don't think it's very likely, but it is possible that some really inefficient modules are dumped on the market since they cannot really compete with direct diode blues apart from applications that require very well defined wavelength and/or low divergence.