There are a few problems with the theories here... Just a few
It's all a question of practicality. What
NEED is there for a 546nm laser? What
NEED is there for a 495nm laser?
Also, the 51% efficiency thing... you'd be lucky to see a tenth of that transferred to a handheld. Efficiency of DPSS lasers
IMMENSELY depend on the temperature of the crystals. Keeping a stabilized temperature in a handheld unit is one heck of a task. Also, efficiency improves drastically on slight variations in pump diode wavelength. Also controlled via temp.
What you're reading are
laboratory experiments that have been conducted for two decades, with very, very few actually going into the hands of the public.
For the orange spectrum, that is slightly more promising. RGBY laser lighting still has a chance, specifically for more "natural" looking light. Though that's the only real practical application unless superpowered hobby telescopes suddenly pop up out of nowhere.
Yellow diodes have been invented, but run at temps like -30C or something absurd like that.
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As per 473nm...
I do believe it is going to drop in price. A little bit.
Going back to practicality, what on god's green earth do we need a 473nm pen for? They'd be unstable as hell, featuring more mode hops and shorter duty cycles.
What the heck do we need 473nm for
at all? Its been effectively replaced with 445nm. The practical use of 473's have dropped dramatically. If anything, I expect
457nm to drop to something "affordable" in upcoming years. It's approximately the wavelength needed for projectors, and it has nicer beam specs.